The Texas Longhorns The team finished off with an impressive 38-20 performance against the West Virginia Mothers this past weekend. They were able to gather themselves after a disappointing loss to Texas Tech Red Raiders in the previous week and could consider themselves in contention for a place in the Big 12 Championship match.
This week they face Urgent Oklahoma In the classic confrontation of the Red River. This will be the first time since 1998 that the two teams enter the match without a standings. To add insult to injury, every other of the Big 12 matches this weekend will be played with a ranked team.
One of the biggest questions around this match is that of the key midfielder for both teams. Texas Queen Ewers are expected to win back It takes crime to a new level. Hudson Card has certainly done well since taking the Alabama game. Yes, it’s surrounded by talented stars, but it still deserves recognition from the Longhorn fan base for keeping the arcade game alive.
Oklahoma quarterback Dillon Gabriel took a dirty blow from linebacker Jamie Hodge in their 24-55 loss to TCU last week. With what appeared to be a concussion, I would be surprised to see if Gabriel was allowed to play on Saturday. As of Tuesday 10/4, We’re still not sure who would be Oklahoma’s starter if Gabriel is officially left out.
The card had one of his best performances this past weekend, completing 21 of his 27 passes for 303 yards and three touchdowns for 88.7 QBR. He was aided in this endeavor by Xavier Worthy who had seven receptions for 119 yards, and received two touchdowns and a passing touchdown of his own. Ja’Tavion Sanders had five receptions for 78 yards and two touchdowns. It was the third highest rated tight end of the PFF this past week with a score of 84.7 and earned the John Mackey TE of the Week award. To complete the pass game, Bijan finished with 101 yards on 20 stands and touchdowns. Below indicates the use and PPA of the Texas offense in the game against the Mountaineers.
The Oklahoma defense recently suffered turmoil from the TCU and a 34-41 fall to Kansas State The last week. Blurred coverage and missed assignments were troubling news given the appointment of defensive-minded coach Brent Venables. Below is a table showing how the OU’s defense has allowed for a higher success rate since the start of great multiplayer against some higher-caliber opponents. Note: The success rate is derived from a successful play in which the offense achieves 50 percent of the required squares in the first down, or 70 percent of the required squares in the second, or a complete conversion in the third or fourth.
Oklahoma now ranks 108th in total defense, allowing 423 yards per game. Venables typically operates from a 3-4 line, opting to add databases in a nickel configuration. Besides the D line, the defense struggled in stopping running and fast passing. This D-line turnover consists of nose tackles Jeffrey Johnson (7 complete tackles, 0 sack) and Isaiah Coe (7,1), as well as defensive tackles Jordan Kelly (3, 0), Galen Redmond (10, 1), and Josh Ellison ( 7, 0). Additionally, linebacker DaShaun White often rolls downhill (24, 0). The UT O streak is still developing and needs to learn quickly before matches with top players like Oklahoma.
In the season, Gabriel is 85 of 133 passes for 1,215 yards, 11 touchdowns, and no interceptions. He earned a 76.6 QBR for the season ranking him 27 in the state, and fifth in the conference right after the card (76.9). Assuming Gabriel is out, my guess for a starter would be Davis Bevel seeing he’s the only other who’s seen time to play this season. The conversion was 6’6, 220 pounds from a three-star recruit Pete out of high school. Aside from two completed sets in the Nebraska game, most of Bevel’s shots came from the back half of a DC game. He went 7 of 16 passes for 50 yards and three bags. Given that the TCU is currently eighth in the conference in the PPA allowed per game, this is a fair that struggled to get started. Here are the attacking stars of Oklahoma’s offensive line and their stats for the season.
We’ve seen some talented wide receivers for OU in recent years with the likes of Marquise Brown and CeeDee Lamb. Hole receiver Marvin Mims may be their next big star; He leads the team with 22 receptions for 438 yards and three touchdowns. Tight end Brayden Willis is also a notable problem that the Texas linebacker unit will need to solve. He has 13 passes for 185 yards and four touchdowns this season. Without Gabriel, it’s hard to claim that their receivers could have the same effect based on the small amount of time we saw Bevel. There is a high level of uncertainty as to how well he will implement the RPO scheme as well as Gabriel, which is why both the deep scrolling and sprinting game are respected.
Oklahoma has a deep run unit as well. Eric Gray has 460 yards on 66 vehicles this season (7.0 yards) and three touchdowns. Jovantae Barnes has 223 yards on 44 carriers (5.1 ypc) and two touchdowns. Finally, Marcus Major has 164 yards on 33 carts (5.0 ypc), and four touchdowns. He’s not as elusive as his other backs, but his trucking ability is incredibly useful in third, fourth and short positions. He is also currently ranked as the 11th best half-back, according to the PFF.
The concern I still have about the Texans’ defense is their stamina. In consecutive games, they showed that fast paced eventually beat them. The only difference is that Texas Tech was able to do it sooner with an additional 100 plays. West Virginia still displays the same trend. The Red Raiders exhausted the pass defense, and the Mountaineers were able to slow the advance of the front seven and establish a running game later. Below is a table looking at the PPA allowed by the Texans defense for each quarter in the past two games.
To get perspective on the next game,
OU*: Produces average PPA Oklahoma offense for the entire season
OU**: Oklahoma’s average offensive PPA has been produced in only the last two games (against Big 12 opponents)
The Sooners’ rushing attack appears to be strong in the first and third quarters of their games and could surprise the Texans with another win. We see him a lot, but this weekend will be another test if Texans can withstand the stretch.
Conference defense comparison
As promised from last week, look at the conversion rates the defenses allowed across the conference. You will find that Texas is in the middle of the pack for pass and rush defense. An example of reading this is that Texans allow their opponents to turn 29 percent of their first touchdown, for a total of about 17 new touchdowns. They allow 32 percent of the conversion per second down for 22 new downs, 42 percent of the third down for 20 new sets of dips, and 55 percent of the fourth down in six conversions. They have a 32 percent conversion rate allowed for success and have given up 66 total touchdowns per season. The difference is sorted by conversion rate first and then by total drop offs.
Iowa He leads the conference with the best passing defense with a transfer rate of 25 percent and first touchdown allowed of 37.
The following chart follows the same pattern but with a quick defense. Texas Tech has the best rushing defense with a 16 percent conversion rate, and Oklahoma State leads with a total rush to the first drop at 24.
The Texas didn’t take the Golden Hat home since the 48-45 thriller in 2018. Later that year, they fell to the Sooners in a Big 12 Championship match and haven’t returned since. In the past three years, Texas has lost by a score or less. And in Sarkissian’s first game, the Longhorns came out hot, going up 41-23, only to allow for another win. It is not only on the shoulders of the defense of the long centuries. Sarkissian must also be able to hold on to some surprising concepts and bold play that would require the second half. The Texans showed that they are not good at running out of time and playing conservatively, so they need to maintain an aggressive mindset throughout the match. Our favorite and unclassified data set from Texas is very small. DraftKings currently rates them as a nine-point favorite*. Oklahoma is in a weak position at the moment, with an outside defense of sorts, and possibly without the initiating QB. But Texas can’t take another win for granted and I remain optimistic that Sark is the cultural shift we’ve been waiting for.
*Odds/lines subject to change. Terms and conditions apply. See Draftkings.com/sports book for details.