To be truly considered a bounce season candidate, a player needs a bounce profile from.
While expectations are one thing, I wanted to define exactly what we’re looking for here. Looking at the fantasy production put in by all the NHLers over the past three years, I’ve been getting the average fantasy score per game (FPPG) and every 60 minutes (FPP60) from the first two years and look at the teams compared to last year.
basic? yes. But it is effective.
The players who have featured the most are included below, although I skip most goalkeepers because they dominate this list and are in a different category when it comes to rebounding. Goalkeepers are largely a product of their environment. However, there was one tandem I wanted to include, so I made an exception. Players are broken down into Impact and Perimeter below.
Jacob CiceroArizona Coyotes (2.07 FPPG 2019-21; 1.72 FPPG 2021-22): We start this list with the player with the most potential impact and the greatest potential for undo. Wolves are in a race to the bottom and they still have Chychrun on a deal during this season and the next two seasons beyond. Absolutely do not have to trade it. But if they do, and if Chychrun is back in a position to do some damage, beware. Before the wheels really got off the ground at Coyotes last season, Chychrun was Fantasia’s second best defender for the 2020-21 season, placing seventh among all skaters for total fantasy points. He did it all: goals, assists, modest production of power play, heavy shot volume, even decent kicks and blocking shots. Injuries didn’t help last season’s totals, but it’s notable that his rates fell as well. Sure, the trade will start to bounce back, but there’s a world in which he’ll be able to get back into shape in the basement-dwelling Coyotes Club.
Verdict: Rebound dependent on trade.
Travis Konechnieand, Philadelphia Flyers (1.78 FPPG 2019-21; 1.52 FPPG 2021-22): Chalk this up Sean Couturier Missing the best part of the season. But with Couturier recovering and looking a little more rosy when the Flyers click, Konecny should be back in spades. At the moment, he is still the best player to score in the Flyers and will occupy one of the positions in the top line and the highest power player with Couturier. The duo have 58.6 percent of Corsi at five-for-five over the past three seasons, which is pretty solid in demonstrating their dominance together (Elias Lindholm He doesn’t have that high of a chorus in percentage over the past three seasons with Matthew Tkachuk or Johnny Goudreufor example).
Verdict: A great filter for recoil.
Mika ZibanjadWow, New York Rangers (2.76 FPPG 2019-21; 2.20 FPPG 2021-22): I mean, if he doesn’t bounce back to his flashy heights you won’t complain about another season of 2.20 FPPG from Zibanejad. But another level lies here that we saw in 2019-20 when Zibanejad published a McDavid-esque 3.20 FPPG on 57 games. Leap forward from Alexis Lavrinier It may help push Zipanegad back to those high rates.
Verdict: Not that he needs to, but bounce a little.
David PasternakF, Boston Bruins (2.61 FPPG 2019-21; 2.42 FPPG 2021-22): After a slow start with old teammates Patrice Bergeron And the Brad MarchandPastrnak found more success last season with Taylor Hall And the Eric Hola. But that wasn’t enough to find higher gears than previous seasons. Pastrnak had his explosive expeditions along with Bergeron and Marchand, but that doesn’t seem like an option on the table anymore. It’s likely settling on 2.40 FPPG, with the window on Pastrnak pushing for 3.00 FPPG looking to close.
Verdict: Don’t bounce. This is the new normal.
Mark StoneF, Vegas Golden Nights (2.18 FPPG 2019-21; 1.72 FPPG 2021-22): Injuries could hold much of the blame for the Stone 2020-21 infantry campaign. The look is brighter though the departure Max Priority. in a good health Jack Eichel Ready to center the top line, this could be Stone’s most productive season yet. A consistent product of over 2.00 FPPG, having Eichel at his disposal should easily bring Stone back to the 30-goal threshold and propel him to his first 80-point season.
Verdict: Rebound caused by Eshel.
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Doji HamiltonD, New Jersey Devils (2.26 FPPG 2019-21; 1.89 FPPG 2021-22): Was last year an adjustment season? Not just for Hamilton, but for the Devils as a whole? That’s a fair mentality as the team looks balanced enough to be an outside contender on the post-season berth with their young stars developing and some veteran splashes added. Hamilton is currently 27th among the midfield linebackers, with only a year left of his sixth place among the linebackers for fantasy points.
Verdict: Even the small bounce makes it a great value pick. Big rebounds can help win trophies.
Tyler SeguinF, Dallas Stars (1.80 FPPG 2019-21; 1.57 FPPG 2021-22): I’ll admit that I invested heavily in the story of Seguin’s return from a season-long absence of injury and surgery to find his level as one of the NHL’s elite scorers again. I can no longer envision this future, but I can see a future in which it returns to a strong, list-worthy fantasy production. If Seguin just needs a mulligan campaign to get his legs back, we might be in for a surprise. Seguin delivered seasons 2.37 FPPG and 2.33 FPPG in 2017-18 and 2018-19 before the knee and hip problems started. I wouldn’t be so daring to predict that kind of production again, but I wouldn’t be shocked if it exceeded the 1.80 FPPG. Count me back in the bounce season, not quite as much as I expected last year.
Verdict: It will regain its shape and deserve your list.
Matthew BarzalF, New York Islanders (1.74 FPPG 2019-21; 1.54 FPPG 2021-22): It is wise to remember that Barzal is still only 25 years old and has not yet reached his ultimate potential. Nor was he always surrounded by two traditional wingers who scored goals. That doesn’t seem to change this season, so dealing with the bounce from Barzal is like doing the same thing and expecting a different outcome.
Verdict: No. Not until they get this guy a suite.
Ryan StromF, Anaheim ducks (1.74 FPPG 2019-21; 1.52 FPPG 2021-22): It’s unclear exactly what kind of streak and role awaits Strome with the Ducks. Did they sign him to be the first and the shield Trevor Zegras For another season? Or is it there to be the second pivotal line of support? Do the Zegras play on the wing so they can be together? Where do we enter Adam HenrikAnd the troy terry And Mason McTavish?
Can I ask more questions about the best six ducks?
Strom has a lot of talent and can be a power play contributor. He may be the best striker on the Ducks list here and now, so the team must find a way to differentiate him. But the team is also building to be more competitive in the 2024-25 campaign than the current campaign, so that’s not a guarantee. But if you see Strom as the team’s number one spot on opening night and he stands out so prominently in the power game, you can bet he’ll be a relevant fantasy out of the gate.
Verdict: Probably, but it’s hard to visualize the duck lineup.
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Alec MartinezD, Vegas Golden Nights (2.25 FPPG 2019-21; 1.95 FPPG 2021-22): Martinez never got his engine running before the flip skates and 50 plus stitches cut his season remarkably short. He will return to the Golden Knights who were limping towards the end and missed the post-season. Remember how Chychrun was the second best defensive man in 2020-21? That’s because Martinez was the best. His fictional production was well done thanks to the forbidden astronomical shots. The question here: Does a 35-year-old defensive man who paid for his physical play with a skate blade in his face still want to lie in front of 200 discs in one season? His shot saved at the end of last season suggests he does. With 21 men ranking ahead of him at the ADP at the start of September, he appears to be a valuable choice.
Judgment: To have another solid year.
Matt Murray And the Ilya SamsonovG, Toronto Maple Leafs (Murray: 3.52 FPP60 2018-19; 1.07 FPP60 2021-22 – Samsonov: 3.18 FPP60 2019-20; 1.86 FPP60 2021-22): This Tandem Ranger is marked because it was added by Maple Leads specifically for the purpose of bouncing back to their former selves/potential . A clean record and a solid team in front of them should be enough to make sure that one, if not both goalkeepers, can find their form. ADP ranks 20th and 25th among goalkeepers, respectively, so securing their services off the bench would be an option.
The verdict: Both are recovering and Toronto will have to make some decisions at the end of the season.
Ondrej BalatF, New Jersey Devils (1.87 FPPG 2019-21; 1.53 FPPG 2021-22): Essentially guaranteeing a spot of plum with equal strength, the big question here is whether Palat gets a taste of a life of solid play with Jack Hughes And the Nico Hescher. If he does, keep bouncing.
Verdict: Recoil depends on when the power is on.
Phil KesselF, Vegas Golden Nights (1.37 FPPG 2019-21; 1.17 FPPG 2021-22): Having been stranded almost alone in the desert for two years, there is a very high chance for Kessel to start production again with the Golden Knights.
Verdict: Of course it is a boomerang. Thirty targets and 40 assistants surround Eichel and Stone.
Jonathan ToewsF, Chicago Blackhawks (1.75 FPPG 2019-21; 1.11 FPPG 2021-22): Updated but not necessarily revitalized by ripping around, Toews needed last year to acclimatize to the NHL after taking a year off. Whether or not he’s turned into a rival by the Blackhawks’ disassembly, he must push back toward fantasy.
Verdict: For Toews’ sake, let’s hope he bounces back and can find a place to land on deadline.
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