Best NFL Playoff Player Prop for Chargers vs. Chiefs

On Thursday night, we got another prime-time elite game between the Los Angeles Chargers and the Kansas City Chiefs. Both teams racked up impressive wins in the first week, and this confrontation could have implications for the West Asian title later in the season. Last year, the Chargers and Chiefs split the regular season 1-1.

Based on my research, here are some trends I picked up when comparing the 2021 Week 3 (The Shipper won) game with the 2021 Week 15 (The Chiefs won). I’ll explore it in more detail below. If you can’t get a font when you open it, use 5% +/- variance. For example, if you like Player X over 101.5 yards, you can feel comfortable playing that streak up to 106.5 unless I say otherwise. I realize that when this article is published, the lines can be very different, so follow the 5% rule and let’s live each day.

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Make sure you also check out Chargers vs. Bosses Best Bets

Josh Palmer over 46.5 yards (-114)

Kenan Allen is unlikely to play, so I’m focusing on supporting him in Josh Palmer. The Charger did a great job last weekend spreading the ball as 11 different players saw a goal, 9 captured a pass. Head coach Brandon Staley has admitted that Josh Palmer will take Allen’s place starting with Mike Williams and Dender Carter in the slot. I reviewed Palmer’s performance in the first week and what stood out was that all three of his goals came when Las Vegas was in area coverage, which is how the Chiefs lined up 74% of the time against the Cardinals. Palmer also played a total of 50 shots (75%) and runs blocked in 48% of those shots – meaning coaches feel safe with him in the game in most situations and he’s probably outperformed Deandre Carter and Jalen Guyton for this reason.

I had a look at Kansas City in defense last week and CB Rashad Fenton did as poorly as the worst of the 3 starting players. To make matters worse, CB Trent McDuffie was named to the internationals this week, so we can expect Chris Lamons or Joshua Williams to replace him. As far as Palmer filled Allen’s path, Allen saw 4 goals – 2 were short, 1 were medium and 1 were long. I expect Williams to get most of KC’s attention, so Palmer could be on a business day. He finished last season strong with a 3-game stretch that included 6, 5 and 9 goals. Last season without Allen in the lineup, Palmer posted his top 5 receptions for 66 yards and a TD. The confidence is there, and I expect him to repeat that performance on Thursday.

Marquez Valdes-Scantling 3.5+ receptions (+120)

Valdes-Scantling had the highest number of shots of any wide receiver in Kansas City and had more than Kelce in Week 1. His aDOT was only 5 yards, but that helps him against this Staley defense who will do everything in his power to block the play. “Big”. In fact, Staley did a great job in Week 3 2021 against the Chiefs. Patrick Mahomes only made it through 61% of his passes at LOS->9 yards in search of a game-changing Tyreke Hill. That play never came and The Chiefs lost 30-24. Fast forward to Week 15, Mahomes changed his focus to the shorter trails and threw 71% of his previous attempts between LOS->9 yards. This approach helped propel the Chiefs to a 34-28 win.

MVS picked up all 4 goals that came in Week 1 and should see a rally like WR2. Mecole Hardman is this team’s de facto slot receiver, but after seeing Hunter Renfrow shut out by Bryan Callahan last week, I’m hesitant to believe Hardman could have more success. Look for the MVS to see 6-7 goals this Thursday.

Jerrick McKinnon Over 16.5 Yards Receipt (-109)

Jerick McKinnon played the same number of shots as Clyde Edwards-Helaire Week 1 and knocked out RB Isaiah Pacheco 27 ​​to 16. His 39% of offensive picks in Week 1 were his highest overall as a member of the Chiefs Pool. Unfortunately, McKinnon missed the two games against LAC in 2021, so we don’t have a benchmark for him, but if the Chiefs’ short and middle passing trend continues, McKinnon could last for a day. There’s a lot of hype surrounding newbie Isiah Pacheco around fantasy football circles (me included), but I think his big exposure against the Cardinal was primarily because the game is so far fetched. This is a prime-time division match that we’ll see Pacheco use in moderation. The Raiders aren’t known for running appearances, but last week Josh Jacobs had one goal and one reception for 16 yards and Brandon Bolden had a reception on two goals for 21 yards against the Chargers. Let’s hope this turns into a track meet and McKinnon sees 4 more targets!

Relegation scorers

Gerek McKinnon + 390

Marquis Valdes-Scantling +210

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