Depending on your point of view, cowboys play a game Energy-Compete with the Bucks, the Bengals, last year’s Super Bowl runner-up, and the rising giants so far this year – or play Tom-Trevik’s take so long from the Bucks, the overrated Bengals, and the Giants Giants.
But no matter what combo gets paid to each team, these three teams have a combined W/L record of 6-4 for a win percentage of 0.600. This is the sixth toughest opening schedule of the season based on the opponent’s winning percentage in 2022. The toughest dates so far belong to the leaders, Packers, Lions, and Vikings, whose opponents met in a 6-3 record (.667). Easiest timelines I’ve encountered so far Broncowho faced teams with a combined win ratio of 0.278 (2-6-1), plus Raiders and Brownwhose opponents had a winning percentage of 0.333 in three weeks.
And the mighty mighty eagles? Despite assurances from their fans to the contrary, Philly has played a much softer table thus far than the Cowboys, with their W/L opponent coming in at 4-5 (.444), and tied with 10 other teams on the tightest seventh table.
We get a similar picture when we look at the teams’ aggregate points for each team’s opponent. The Cowboys’ opponents have a +42 point differential, the sixth-highest total in the league, while the Eagles at -14 have the lowest 14 points. Washington leads all teams with an opponent’s point difference of +84, while the Attackers sit 0-3 at the opposite end of the scale with -84.
Before we dive into our schedule strength (SOS) discussions, here’s something to consider: Early in the season, a team’s schedule strength is largely determined by their W/L record.
Take 3-0 Eagles. If they were 0-3 instead of 3-0, their combined opponent’s W/L record would be 7-2 (.778) instead of 4-5 (.444). This is a huge swing based on your win percentage alone, which in very simple terms means that the more games you win, the softer your SOS becomes – and vice versa.
rest of the season:
If you were hoping that a tough start would lead to a softer schedule down the road for the Cowboys, you’re about to be disappointed.
Remember when the watchers of the stream blew the trumpets of every tower.”By almost every measure, the Cowboys are set to face one of the easiest tables in the NFL“?
That was then, this is now: Cowboys opponents in the remainder of the season currently have a combined win ratio of 0.590 (22-15-2), making the remaining Cowboys table the toughest in the league. Some of that has to do with playing in the NFC East, which, after three games, has a better winning record (.667, 8-4) than any other division. It does not benefit the two matches remaining against the Eagles at the moment 3-0.
The table below summarizes the remaining strength of the schedule for all 32 teams.
|4||I was||21||16||2||-17||0.564||T15||Northeast||20||20||1||-20||0.500||T26||Latin America and the Caribbean||17||21||2||-75||0.450|
So, did cowboys and vultures benefit from soft beginnings? While we know the SOS team’s first three weeks were in large part the result of their W/L record, the Cowboys in particular had a rough start – as measured by opponents who have amassed their W/L record so far in 2022 The eagles on the other hand…
Three weeks is almost certainly too short a period to make any meaningful conclusions about SOS. Collectively, we might feel good about the Cowboys’ 2-1 record, just as we might collectively look down our noses at Philly’s 3-0 record, but at the end of the day, the gains are in the books and they aren’t no matter how they are achieved.
In the end, you can only play teams on your schedule, no matter who those teams are, and whatever W/L record those teams have at any given time. But early indications are that the Cowboys’ 2022 schedule may end up being much tougher than it appeared in May when the schedule was released.